The Estonian Defence Forces Intelligence Centre reports that Russian occupying forces have intensified their attacks in Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts, with the most intense fighting reportedly occurring on the Avdiivka-Marinka line in Donetsk Oblast and the Kupiansk-Svatove line in Luhansk Oblast. The Russian army launched an average of 64 daily attacks, keeping Ukrainian forces under constant pressure. The area of the contact line near Avdiivka is likely to remain the focus of Russian efforts. Although both sides are suffering heavy losses, the latest information indicates that Ukrainian defence is holding the line. However, Avdiivka might be captured if Russian forces continue to deploy significant forces to this area. The fighting is also influenced by humid weather conditions, with heavy equipment and armoured vehicles likely to be hampered for a month or two.
Czech President Petr Pavel said the current situation on the battlefield does not indicate that Ukraine can gain a military advantage. He believes time is in Russia’s favour, and negotiations may start next year.
