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Belarus, Lithuania and Poland – border tensions

2024/08/25
in Macroeconomics

Belarus has the „every reason” to break through a corridor to transit Belarusian goods through Lithuania to Kaliningrad, according to First Deputy State Secretary Pavel Muraveiko. Lithuania introduced restrictions on the transit of Belarusian goods last February and banned the transit and transshipment of oil products from Belarus in 2021. Muraveiko believes that Belarus has every reason to cut through a vitally important corridor for them by force of arms. Lithuania stopped issuing Belarusian tourist visas and closed part of the border crossings, and Belarus will probably not risk breaking through the corridor due to „unprecedented pressure from the West.” Concerns about the corridor’s security for Lithuania and Poland were voiced long before the full-scale invasion, as the countries agreed to strengthen the protection of this border section back in 2019. Meanwhile, increasingly aggressive propaganda activities of Belarus and Russia are recorded in Poland, with propaganda complementing the operation to destabilise the Polish border with artificially stimulated migration pressure. This year alone, 19,000 people tried to enter Poland from Belarus.

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